My Account Log Out

reorder

Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-195/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -195.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 7.6 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 61.7.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Mark Andrews's play as a receiver has worsened this year, accumulating a measly 5.2 yards per game vs 6.4 last year.

Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 65.4%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Mark Andrews Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™