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Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-113/-113).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -113.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Mark Andrews has gone out for fewer passes this year (94.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (84.1%).THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to accrue 8.3 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among TEs.The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.Mark Andrews's pass-catching performance declined this year, notching a measly 5.3 yards per game compared to 6.4 last year.Mark Andrews's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 67.0%.
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