Mark Andrews Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Mark Andrews has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (84.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 9.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Mark Andrews has been among the leading TEs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 5.5 receptions per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% falling off from 73.1% to 68.5%.

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