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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • In this game, Mark Andrews is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 77th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.
  • Mark Andrews's possession skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 74.4% to 83.2%.
  • Mark Andrews's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, notching 10.82 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 9.35 mark last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Mark Andrews has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (33.0 per game) than he did last year (49.0 per game).
  • Mark Andrews's 28.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 46.8.
  • Mark Andrews's 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a noteworthy reduction in his pass-catching talent over last season's 56.0 figure.

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