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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to total 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

When talking about air yards, Mark Andrews grades out in the towering 93rd percentile among tight ends this year, totaling a monstrous 43.0 per game.

Mark Andrews's 81.6% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 74.4% mark.

Mark Andrews profiles as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among tight ends, averaging a remarkable 9.93 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 94th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Mark Andrews's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season marks a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching talent over last season's 56.0 mark.

Mark Andrews's ability to generate extra yardage has worsened this year, notching just 3.22 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.36 figure last year.

This year, the fierce Bills defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.7 yards.

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