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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to total 4.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 74.4% to 85.4%.
  • With an impressive 10.1 adjusted yards per target (88th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews places as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends in the league.
  • This year, the poor New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 92.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • After accruing 49.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has regressed heavily this year, currently sitting at 38.0 per game.
  • Mark Andrews's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 46.8.

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