Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 3.2% more towards passing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.0 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to earn 6.6 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Ravens profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.
With a remarkable 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (99th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews has been as one of the best tight ends in the pass game in the league.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 5.5 points.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 50.2% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
At the moment, the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
After accumulating 79.0 air yards per game last year, Mark Andrews has produced significantly fewer this year, now sitting at 53.0 per game.
Mark Andrews's 49.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 69.0.