Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-110).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
In this week's game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.0 targets.
When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
Mark Andrews grades out as one of the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging an impressive 62.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 99th percentile.
Favors Under
With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
Mark Andrews has been much less involved in his team's pass game this year (23.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (29.9%).
Mark Andrews has notched far fewer air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (79.0 per game).