Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 7.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews's 67.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 61.7.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has surrendered the 10th-most receiving yards per game in the league (53.0) to tight ends this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (80.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
Mark Andrews has totaled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (56.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).
Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 63.6%.

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