Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to total 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews's 69.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 61.7.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
Mark Andrews has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (87.0 per game) than he did last year (96.0 per game).

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