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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • Mark Andrews has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (94.3% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (84.1%).
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 9.1 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews has posted a colossal 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Mark Andrews has accrued a lot fewer receiving yards per game (65.0) this season than he did last season (82.0).

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