Mark Andrews Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to earn 8.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
Mark Andrews has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (33.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.6%).
Mark Andrews has posted a whopping 95.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among TEs.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Mark Andrews's ability to grind out extra yardage has improved this season, accumulating 4.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 3.70 figure last season.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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