Mark Andrews Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-178).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Andrews has accumulated quite a few more air yards this season (108.0 per game) than he did last season (96.0 per game).
Mark Andrews's 78.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 61.7.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
Mark Andrews ranks in the 99th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a stellar 0.83 per game.
The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (33.1% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (38.7% in games he has played).

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