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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+193/-291).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +228 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +193.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 31.2% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
  • Mark Andrews has posted a monstrous 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among TEs.
  • Mark Andrews's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 61.7.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews grades out in the 98th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.45 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 65.4%.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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