Mark Andrews Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mark Andrews

NFL · Player Props

Mark Andrews

TE · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+193/-291).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +228 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +193.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 31.2% this year, which puts him in the 99th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews has posted a monstrous 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among TEs.
Mark Andrews's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 61.7.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Mark Andrews grades out in the 98th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging an impressive 0.45 per game.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Mark Andrews's ball-catching skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 65.4%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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