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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+150/-214).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +192 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mark Andrews has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 33.3% this year, which ranks in the 98th percentile among TEs.
  • Mark Andrews has compiled a colossal 92.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews's 71.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 61.7.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Mark Andrews grades out in the 99th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
  • Mark Andrews's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 73.1% to 67.0%.
  • The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 5th-best group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

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