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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

Mark Andrews Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+128/-179).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mark Andrews has posted a whopping 95.0 air yards per game this year: 100th percentile among TEs.

Mark Andrews's 76.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 61.7.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Mark Andrews grades out in the 99th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.62 per game.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Completion% in the NFL (76.2%) vs. TEs this year (76.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to be much less involved in his team's pass attack near the goal line this week (31.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (37.1% in games he has played).

More Mark Andrews Player Props

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