My Account Log Out

reorder

Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to garner 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.

THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (21.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.0% in games he has played).

The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

Marcus Mariota has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Marcus Mariota's running efficiency has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 5.90 yards-per-carry vs a 8.10 mark last season.

The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Marcus Mariota Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™