Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 3rd-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to notch 7.6 rush attempts in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to be much more involved in his offense's running game this week (23.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.3% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Marcus Mariota's rushing efficiency has tailed off this season, notching a measly 5.49 yards-per-carry compared to a 8.10 mark last season.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles rank as the best group of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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