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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 45.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to earn 6.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to be much more involved in his team's run game this week (23.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.0% in games he has played).

Marcus Mariota has generated 20.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (79th percentile).

The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles rank as the 6th-worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Marcus Mariota's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, accumulating a measly 4.22 yards-per-carry vs a 8.10 mark last season.

Opposing teams have run for the 9th-least yards in the NFL (just 103 per game) versus the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season.

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