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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to earn 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (21.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Marcus Mariota has run for many more yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Marcus Mariota's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 5.90 yards-per-carry vs a 8.10 figure last season.
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least yards in the NFL (just 106 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

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