Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to earn 6.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (21.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
Marcus Mariota has run for many more yards per game (36.0) this season than he did last season (15.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Marcus Mariota's running effectiveness has tailed off this season, averaging just 5.90 yards-per-carry vs a 8.10 figure last season.
Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-least yards in the NFL (just 106 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

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