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Marcus Mariota
NFL · Player Props
Marcus Mariota
QB · Atlanta Falcons
Rushing TD
Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022 Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Marcus Mariota Rushing TD

Marcus Mariota Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+196/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -284 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -290.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 52.6% red zone run rate.
  • Marcus Mariota isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the end zone, accounting for 21.3% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts this year (89th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
  • Marcus Mariota has rushed for 0.25 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in the NFL among QBs (89th percentile).
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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