Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 161.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 161.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 161.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
Marcus Mariota has thrown for significantly more yards per game (165.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
Marcus Mariota has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.65 yards-per-target while ranking in the 80th percentile.
The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

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