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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Atlanta Falcons vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 161.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 161.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 161.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 8th-most in football.
  • Marcus Mariota has thrown for significantly more yards per game (165.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
  • Marcus Mariota has been among the best per-play passers in the NFL this year, averaging a stellar 7.65 yards-per-target while ranking in the 80th percentile.
  • The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst CB corps in football this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Falcons are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 123.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football this year, totaling just 52.3 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 27.9 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.

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