Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 189.5 (+104/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 189.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 189.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Marcus Mariota has thrown for substantially more yards per game (180.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
Marcus Mariota has been among the best per-play quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 7.81 yards-per-target while checking in at the 79th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 2nd-worst in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 51.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.39 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 29.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 2nd-least of all QBs.
Marcus Mariota has been among the least accurate quarterbacks in football this year with a 60.1% Completion%, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 9th-least yards in football (just 216.0 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year.

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