Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 195.5 (+110/-150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Marcus Mariota has passed for substantially more yards per game (190.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
Marcus Mariota has been among the best per-play passers in football this year, averaging a terrific 7.64 yards-per-target while ranking in the 75th percentile.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the 4th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 31.9 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Marcus Mariota has been among the least accurate passers in football this year with a 56.9% Completion%, checking in at the 9th percentile.

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