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Marcus Mariota
NFL · Player Props
Marcus Mariota
QB · Atlanta Falcons
Passing Yards
Atlanta Falcons vs Cleveland Browns · Week 4, 2022 Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC
NFL Props Marcus Mariota Passing Yards

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-103/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 217.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 217.5 @ -129.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Marcus Mariota has been among the most effective QBs in football this year, averaging a stellar 8.31 yards-per-target while checking in at the 91st percentile.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have used some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Falcons to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have called the 2nd-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 55.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 30.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Atlanta Falcons O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
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