Marcus Mariota Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Passing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 168.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 167.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 168.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game against the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Marcus Mariota has thrown for significantly more yards per game (169.0) this season than he did last season (1.0).
Opposing QBs have passed for the 5th-most yards in the league (273.0 per game) vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 28.3 passes this week, on average: the 2nd-least of all quarterbacks.
Marcus Mariota has been among the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 61.1% Completion%, grading out in the 15th percentile.

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