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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints

Marcus Mariota Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 218.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 211.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 218.5 @ -105.
  • The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The New Orleans Saints defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.2% pass rate.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have run the 2nd-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 58.5 plays per game.
  • Marcus Mariota has attempted a mere 0.3 throws per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 1st percentile among QBs.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Marcus Mariota has been among the bottom QBs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 1.0 yards per game while grading out in the 4th percentile.

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