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Marcus Mariota

Marcus Mariota Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 30.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have intercepted 1.05 balls per game this year, grading out as the 5th-best defense in football by this standard.
  • The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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