Marcus Mariota Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Marcus Mariota

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Mariota

QB · Atlanta Falcons

Interceptions

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Marcus Mariota Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Chargers cornerbacks project as the 8th-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons have incorporated some form of misdirection on 53.2% of their plays since the start of last season (7th-most in football), which usually makes an offense more unpredictable and more effective.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons offense to be the 3rd-worst paced team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.10 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Marcus Mariota to attempt 30.4 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.
The Los Angeles Chargers have intercepted 1.05 balls per game this year, grading out as the 5th-best defense in football by this standard.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line has allowed their QB a measly 2.41 seconds before getting pressured (7th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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