Marcus Johnson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marcus Johnson

NFL · Player Props

Marcus Johnson

WR · New York Giants

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs New York Giants · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:11 PM EST

Analysis

Marcus Johnson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-210/+155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
Marcus Johnson has run fewer routes this year (72.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (40.2%).
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers profile as the worst unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in football.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Marcus Johnson has been among the worst possession receivers in the league, hauling in just 54.1% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 24th percentile among WRs
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (63.2%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.2%).

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