Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Marcedes Lewis

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 19, 2022 12:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Marcedes Lewis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-oriented team in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 65.2% pass rate.
Marcedes Lewis has been among the best possession receivers in football among tight ends, catching an impressive 83.9% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.
Marcedes Lewis has been among the most effective receivers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a terrific 8.48 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 80th percentile.
Marcedes Lewis has been among the top tight ends in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a stellar 6.26 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 85th percentile.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the league since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

Favors Under

The Packers are a big 10-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has yielded the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.4%) versus TEs since the start of last season (64.4%).