Malik Willis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 153.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 153.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 153.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Opposing teams have thrown for the 10th-most yards in the NFL (261.0 per game) vs. the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Houston Texans defense has struggled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 6.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in the NFL.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the NFL against the Houston Texans defense this year (65.2%).

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