Malik Willis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 29, 2022 5:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 104.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 116.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 104.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the league.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.