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Malik Willis

Malik Willis Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 104.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 116.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 104.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the league.
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.
  • The Tennessee Titans offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

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