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Malik Heath

Malik Heath Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

Malik Heath Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-195).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 62.4% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Packers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.5 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Rams, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 26.2 per game) this year.

Malik Heath has run a route on 21.2% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 20th percentile among wideouts.

With a measly 1.3 adjusted catches per game (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Malik Heath has been among the worst wide receivers in the league in the NFL.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (58%) to WRs since the start of last season (58.0%).

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