Malik Heath Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Malik Heath

NFL · Player Props

Malik Heath

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Malik Heath Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+180/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -250 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing QBs have averaged 38.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
The Tampa Bay cornerbacks rank as the 3rd-worst CB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Packers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.
With an exceptional 14.2% Route% (10th percentile) this year, Malik Heath ranks among the WRs with the most usage in football.
Malik Heath grades out as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL this year, averaging just 0.9 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 10th percentile among wideouts.

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