Mack Hollins Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-102/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 3rd-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mack Hollins has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this year, staying in the game for 88.0% of snaps compared to just 26.6% last year.
Opposing teams have run for the 8th-least yards in football (just 108 per game) versus the New England Patriots defense this year.
The New England Patriots safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year with their run defense.

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