Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 4:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Falcons to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
Mack Hollins has run a route on 88.9% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile when it comes to WRs.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Atlanta Falcons to be the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Falcons have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.8 plays per game.
Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 64.2% to 54.8%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.8%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (64.8%).
The Jaguars cornerbacks project as the 6th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in defending receivers.

More Mack Hollins Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow