Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Houston Texans · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+190/-250).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.8 pass attempts per game versus the Houston Texans defense this year: 9th-most in football.
Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this season (94.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (31.1%).
Mack Hollins's play as a receiver has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.4 yards per game vs just 1.1 last year.
Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Completion% increasing from 50.1% to 65.3%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-worst paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 28.78 seconds per play.
The Houston Texans pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (59.4%) to WRs this year (59.4%).
The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 6th-best CB corps in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Las Vegas Raiders have incorporated play action on a mere 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

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