Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this season (92.9% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (31.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to accrue 6.6 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 50.1% to 82.9%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.8%).
The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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