Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Mack Hollins has been less involved as a potential target this season (94.2% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (31.1%).
THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to earn 6.9 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among WRs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a measly 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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