My Account Log Out

reorder

Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this season (93.8% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (31.1%).

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line grades out as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 5th-worst paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 28.94 seconds per snap.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has conceded the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (61.6%) vs. wideouts this year (61.6%).

The Denver Broncos safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box versus opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on just 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

More Mack Hollins Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™