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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mack Hollins has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (68.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (33.3%).
  • Mack Hollins has accrued many more air yards this year (39.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).
  • This year, the poor Miami Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for a monstrous 68.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 9th-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Miami's LB corps has been terrible this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see only 122.6 offensive plays run: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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