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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Mack Hollins's 72.9% Route Participation% this season conveys a noteable improvement in his pass game volume over last season's 33.3% rate.
  • Mack Hollins has posted significantly more air yards this year (53.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Bills as the 6th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Bills are expected by the predictive model to call just 61.4 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Bills have run the 4th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Mack Hollins profiles as one of the weakest WRs in the league this year, averaging a mere 16.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 25th percentile among WRs.

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