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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

Mack Hollins has accrued many more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (29.0 per game).

Mack Hollins's 26.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 17.7.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Bills grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

The Chiefs defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 125.0) vs. WRs this year.

This year, the stout Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a measly 7.7 yards.

As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Kansas City's collection of LBs has been very good this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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