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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

After accruing 29.0 air yards per game last year, Mack Hollins has undergone big improvement this year, now averaging 40.0 per game.

Mack Hollins's 26.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 17.7.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

The Denver Broncos pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

More Mack Hollins Player Props

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