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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mack Hollins has compiled many more air yards this year (41.0 per game) than he did last year (31.0 per game).

Mack Hollins's 26.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 19.1.

The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Mack Hollins's 63.1% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a noteworthy improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 59.7% rate.

The Jets defensive ends project as the 5th-worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are heavily favored in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Buffalo Bills to pass on 51.4% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.0 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.

The 2nd-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Bills this year (a mere 54.3 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

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