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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Buffalo Bills vs San Francisco 49ers

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mack Hollins's 69.8% Route Participation Rate this season illustrates a substantial gain in his passing attack volume over last season's 33.3% figure.

Mack Hollins has put up significantly more air yards this season (40.0 per game) than he did last season (31.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 6th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is expected by the model to see only 122.1 total plays called: the lowest number on the slate this week.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.8 plays per game.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and higher rush volume.

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