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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Buffalo Bills

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% pass rate.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.

Mack Hollins's 68.6% Route Participation Rate this season represents a significant gain in his pass game utilization over last season's 33.3% rate.

After accruing 31.0 air yards per game last season, Mack Hollins has seen a big uptick this season, currently averaging 38.0 per game.

The Bills O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Bills are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The fewest plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (a measly 52.7 per game on average).

With a lackluster 17.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (23rd percentile) this year, Mack Hollins stands among the bottom pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 59.7% to 52.2%.

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