Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 131.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Falcons have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 62.0 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Mack Hollins's 4.36 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a noteable progression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 2.5% rate.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been torched for the 8th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (176.0) to WRs this year.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Falcons, who are favored by 3.5 points.
The model projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Mack Hollins's 44.5% Route% this year indicates a remarkable decrease in his pass game utilization over last year's 93.4% rate.
After totaling 64.0 air yards per game last season, Mack Hollins has fallen off this season, now pacing 44.0 per game.
Mack Hollins's 27.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season represents a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 42.0 figure.

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