Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.
Mack Hollins's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten a boost this season, notching 4.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.51 figure last season.
This year, the porous Buccaneers defense has been torched for a massive 180.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wideouts: the 8th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The model projects the Falcons as the 6th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 54.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Mack Hollins's 54.3% Route% this year shows a an impressive regression in his passing game volume over last year's 93.4% mark.
After accruing 64.0 air yards per game last year, Mack Hollins has posted significant losses this year, currently boasting 51.0 per game.
Mack Hollins has accrued substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (27.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).
Mack Hollins's 54.8% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 64.2% mark.

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