Mack Hollins Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mack Hollins ranks in the 82nd percentile among WRs this year with an impressive 28.9% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.
Mack Hollins's 71.1% Route Participation% this season represents a a meaningful decline in his passing game volume over last season's 93.4% figure.
Mack Hollins has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).
Mack Hollins's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.2% to 43.6%.

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