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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Atlanta Falcons vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to have 130.4 plays on offense run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Mack Hollins ranks in the 82nd percentile among WRs this year with an impressive 28.9% of his team's air yards accumulated.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Falcons to pass on 53.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Texans, totaling the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.0 per game) this year.
  • Mack Hollins's 71.1% Route Participation% this season represents a a meaningful decline in his passing game volume over last season's 93.4% figure.
  • Mack Hollins has posted substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).
  • Mack Hollins's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 64.2% to 43.6%.

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